Sabtu, 07 Mei 2011

Risk is Here

Global market risks, temporarily hidden by cheap credit, have now reasserted themselves with a vengeance. With many AAA rated bonds now suddenly worthless, buyers of Wall Street’s now suspect wares have deserted the credit markets in droves. The rush for returns has been replaced by a rush to safety, reflecting the sentiment penned by the 19th century humorist Mark Twain:

I am more concerned about the return of my money than the return on my money.

Risk is back and no matter how often the playground supervisor tries to reassure us, we know the playground is no longer safe. Even the big kids are getting hurt. The fat kid’s back and so is the whiff of deflation.

RISK IS IN THE HOUSE

LIBOR’s getting high

As central bankers try

To calm the markets down

But risk is back in town

Risk is in the house YO!

Risk is in the house

Credit lines are drawn

Where’s the money gone

Spreads are growing fast

Markets sucking gas

Risk is in the house YO!

Risk is in the house

Triple A means squat

Commercial paper rots

Monolines are down

‘Cause risk is back in town

Risk is in the house YO!

Risk is in the house

Risk is going ‘round

Can you hear the sound

As tranches hit the ground

‘Cause risk is back in town

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